From the editor's desk...

The Market Lions continue to add to the economic conversation of the day. Ed Yardeni again provides useful economic commentary, including ideas to help solve problems, so check out his series of articles. Warren Buffett hit the news last week with his editorial about increasing taxes and his nearly one-hour interview. If you're a Buffett fan (or even if not) you may want to check out at least sections of his interview (Warren Explains Much).

Jim Rogers continues with his always entertaining and certainly consistent views on politicians and central bankers. Be sure to check out QE3 Has Already Started.  And finally, miss the three links for Steve Forbes.

Until next time, run with the Lions!

(rhh)

Ed Yardeni

Intelligent Response Is All That's Left

August 19

Very good interview/discussion with Ed Yardeni and others on Squawk Box. Yardeni clearly explains the impact of recent events and changes in the world's economy, noting that much of it has been caused by inept politicians. Given the recent events, he has decreased his S&P 500 end-of-year target from 1500 to 1250. Additionally, he mentions some very specific actions that can be taken to solve some of these economic problems, including what I highlighted a couple of newsletters ago (Finally, A Solution). Take time to watch this clip. It's not long and it'll be worth your time.

CNBC.com
Markets' Sharp Price Decline
Squawk Box
Aug. 19, 2011

0 Comments
 
Ed Yardeni

Housing's Future?

August 18

Yardeni's idea to eliminate the excess housing inventory was highlighted in an MLD lead article a couple of weeks ago (Finally, A Solution). This link takes you to the follow-up where Yardeni's congressman is jumping on the idea and is planning to introduce it as legislation. We'll see where this goes. (Regardless, I hope it gets settled fast. My son and his family are getting ready to make an offer on a house, but....should he wait to see if the legislation passes?)

yardeni.com
The New Homestead Act: Update
Ed Yardeni
Dr. Ed's Blog
Aug. 18, 2011

0 Comments
 
Ed Yardeni

Room For Optimism

August 16

Ed Yardeni presents some optimism in the midst of the recent market turmoil. He points out that rail car shipments have actually risen recently. Even though the S&P Transportation Index has fallen precipitously, similar to what it did when Lehman collapsed in 2008, Yardeni points out that rail shipments look much better this time around than in 2008. Time will tell.

yardeni.com
Transportation Stocks & Railcar Loadings
Ed Yardeni
Dr. Ed's Blog
Aug. 16, 2011

0 Comments
 
Ed Yardeni

Room For Optimism, Take Two

August 17

"Are we starting to come out of the soft patch just as investors are discounting a double dip recession? I think so. The latest evidence is in July’s industrial production report for the US. Let’s review..."

yardeni.com
Industrial Production
Ed Yardeni
Dr. Ed's Blog
Aug. 17, 2011

0 Comments
 
Ed Yardeni

Maybe Not All Optimistic...

August 18

Ed Yardeni tempers his last two blogs reflecting optimism in the economy with this blog which reflects the big jump in this particular leading indicator (high-yield corp. bonds vs. 10-year Treasuries). Very brief blog, but a useful one to look at to keep this particular indicator in mind for your own prognostications.

yardeni.com
High Yield Bond Spread
Ed Yardeni
Dr. Ed's Blog
Aug. 18, 2011

0 Comments
 
David Malpass

August Panic Attacks Not Justified

August 16

In this white paper, David Malpass and Wing Chow explain why this month's increase in industrial production is not enough to turn things around. Nor do they view the market panic as being justified by the economic data. Nonetheless, they express caution and suggest a couple of events that could swing the world economies in the wrong direction.

Encimaglobal.com
U.S. Production Growth Isn’t Enough
David Malpass and Wing Chow
Aug. 16, 2011

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David Malpass

Bank Issues

August 18

David Malpass and other very experienced players discuss the health of the US and European banking systems as they face the issues of the day. While Malpass, and the others, see issues and concerns that may lead to recession, they believe the financial strength of the banks is much better than it was in 2008. A bit cerebral, but nonetheless it is a helpful interview.

CNBC.com
Euro Debt Fears Slam Stocks
The Kudlow Report
Aug. 18, 2011

0 Comments
 
Nouriel Roubini

Economic Options

August 15

In this article, Nouriel Roubini delves into the detail behind several of his statements from the prior week, including his claiming Karl Marx might be right about capitalism. He explains in a little more detail what he meant and he explains in simple terms what options, in his mind, are before the eurozone and the US to solve the current economic problems. This is a relatively interesting article, whether or not you agree or disagree with Roubini. It's a useful explanation of several options, which, I suspect, will be seriously considered by policy makers and central bankers. (Though this is not a particularly good thing from my point of view.)

project-syndicate.org
Is Capitalism Doomed?
Nouriel Roubini
After the Storm
Aug. 15, 2011

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Nouriel Roubini

Marx Was Right & It's All Bush's Fault

August 11

"Economist Nouriel Roubini says the risk of a global recession is greater than 50 percent, and the next two to three months will reveal the economy's direction. In an interview with WSJ's Simon Constable, Roubini also says he's putting his money in cash. 'This is not the time to be in risky assets,' he says." This is a relatively long (22-minutes) interview and in it he makes some stunning statements. At about 5 1/2 minutes into the interview, Roubini says Karl Marx was right and capitalism could self destruct if money shifts from labor to capital, something he says is happening now, though not yet to the extreme.

Furthermore, he says the econonomic problems today should be blamed on George Bush. (Must be President Obama's primary advisor given these statements.) Roubini's solution: more stimulus now (wasn't big enough before), increase taxes, and down the road reduce government expenses. There are some other surprising statements made throughout. Though rather depressing, this interview gets 4-stars simply for the shock value.

WSJ.com
Roubini Warns of Global Recession Risk
The Big Interview
Aug. 11, 2011

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Bill Gross

Serious Concerns

August 18

Bill Gross is interviewed (starts 7-minutes into the video) about the situation in Europe now (which he says is serious) and whether the US will go into, or already is, in recession. Gross says corporations are unwilling to invest because of a lack of demand and consumers don't buy because they are worried about losing their job. He suggests the best solution, short-term, is for the government to actually start hiring directly in special works projects. Gross suggests some rather striking solutions and predictions. Gross followers may want to check out this interview.

CNBC.com
Dow Drops Nearly 420 Points
Aug. 18, 2011

0 Comments
 
Steve Forbes

Get Into the Market Now

August 18

In this interview, even as the market is dropping dramatically, Steve Forbes suggests it is a good time to invest funds you won't need for a couple of years. He is particularly looking beyond the 2012 elections. In the course of the interview, he  explains what is different today than the 2008 situation (hint: mark to market). Interesting interview.

FoxBusiness.com
Forbes: America Will Turn Around
Aug. 18, 2011

0 Comments
 
Steve Forbes

Dollar Will Be Linked To Gold

August 15

In this interview, Steve Forbes explains his views about gold, the dollar, and what their relationship means in the past, present, and future. Interesting and informative review of past history along with Forbes' prediction that the dollar will, within five years, again be linked to gold--by necessity.

FoxBusiness.com
Steve Forbes' Gold Prediction
Freedom Watch
Aug. 15, 2011

0 Comments
 
Steve Forbes

For Jobs, Obama Should...

August 17

With President Obama on his bus tour in the midwest, Steve Forbes responds to the President's promise to issue a new plan for jobs after he gets back from vacation. This is an interesting discussion about what really creates demand which will lead to jobs. Forbes provides his prescription for the President, one which will certainly not be accepted, unfortunately.

FoxBusiness.com
What Should Obama Include in Jobs Plan?
Aug. 17, 2011

0 Comments
 
Warren Buffett Sponsored By

Warren Explains Much

August 15

If you are a Warren Buffett follower, you will want to listen to this 51-minute inteview. Though most of the discussion centers around Buffett's recent call to raise taxes on the rich (see Stop Coddling the Rich), Buffett explores more including the deficit, the S&P downgrade, the economy, and the markets. He says all his 70-some businesses are doing better each quarter, except those related to the housing industry. He sees corporate America as doing fine, except those in residential real estate, which will not get better until the excess inventory drops to a million units. You will most likely agree and disagree with Buffett in this interview, perhaps even be surprised at his views, but if you follow him, it's a must hear.

www.charlierose.com
Warren Buffett
Aug. 15, 2011

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Warren Buffett Sponsored By

Stop Coddling the Rich

August 14

Here's the famous op-ed Warren Buffett wrote claiming the rich, like him, should pay more in taxes, a now familiar complaint from the Oracle of Omaha. While he gives some statistics in the editorial, he seems to leave out how big an impact his recommended tax increase would really make in the government's deficit. It's not really as much as all the noise would make it seem. By the way, an interesting editorial in the Wall Street Journal (Warren Buffett's Tax Dodge) provides an enlightening counter-point to Buffett's op-ed.

NYTimes.com
Stop Coddling the Super-Rich
Warren Buffett
The Opinion Pages
Aug. 14, 2011

0 Comments
 
jim Rogers

QE3 Has Already Started

August 17

In his usual colorful explanations, Jim Rogers shares the specific investments he is in and those he is avoiding. He explains, with an historical perspective, what he sees happening today. Agree or disagree, Rogers certainly has no doubt about his views. Listen to this one.

0 Comments
 
Jim Rogers

Nothing New About Bad Treasuries

August 08

Jim Rogers suggests that the downgrade by S&P was really nothing new to the markets because everyone that invests already knew that Treasuries were in bad shape. He suggests the recent market "panic" was more about what was going on in Europe. Because Rogers is convinced the only thing central banks know how to do is print more money, he is invested in real assets like gold and agricultural commodities. He points out that nations need to let bad companies go bankrupt. Japan did not for the past twenty years and their stock market is "75% below what it was twenty years ago." We should not do the same thing, but that's what they're doing according to Rogers. You'll want to listen to this one.

Bloomberg.com
Jim Rogers on U.S. Downgrade, Global Markets, Aug. 8
On the Move Asia
Aug. 8, 2011

0 Comments
 
Marc Faber

More QE Coming

August 19

Marc Faber suggests the Fed will move forward in the future with QE3 and even QE4. As such, he sees gold as a key long-term investment.  He recommends diversification, but today, even though he sees equities going lower, he still thinks it is the better asset category.

Bloomberg.com
Faber Advises Buying Stocks Before 10-Year Treasury
Street Smart
Aug. 19, 2011

0 Comments
 
Marc Faber

Accumulate Gold

August 19

Though he thinks gold may currently be overpriced, nonetheless Marc Faber thinks you are irresponsible if not adding gold to your portfolio every month. With central banks primarily printing money, Faber sees gold as a long term value. Furthermore, though he thinks equities may go lower, it is a better investment than Treasuries because he expects more easing by central banks. It's worth listening to this interview.

Bloomberg.com
Faber Says Fed to Extend Policy to ‘QE4'
Tom Keene Show
Aug. 19, 2011

0 Comments
 
Marc Faber

Collectively Resign

August 09

In an interview from Thailand, Marc Faber suggested that even with the rebound on Tuesday, he expects the market to go lower. When that happens, he thinks the Fed will then implement QE3, though he thinks they were right in not announcing it this month.  And in typical Faber fashion, he said the best thing the Fed could do for the economy is to "collectively resign."

At this time Faber claims the long-term Treasuries are in a huge bubble and are the "short of the century." And finally, he says every responsible adult should increase his holding of gold over time, even though he sees a correction in gold as overdue. He gives lots of specific investment advice toward the end of this interview. You don't want to miss it.

Bloomberg.com
Faber on Fed Decision, Treasury Market, Gold
Street Smart
Aug. 9, 2011

0 Comments
 
Carl Icahn

Corporate Governance and Taxes

August 15

Carl Icahn discusses what he sees as the lack of good corporate governance in America in this interview. As he is asked, he also explains why he agrees with Warren Buffett that the wealthy can and should pay more in taxes, but the taxes on corporations need to be reduced. A corporate tax, he says, is really a tax on the middle-class because they own shares through their pension funds.



0 Comments
 
Carl Icahn

Carl Wants Clorox Board To Go

August 20

"Billionaire investor Carl Icahn said Friday he intends to nominate 11 people, including himself, to replace Clorox Co.'s whole board at the company's next shareholder meeting..."

WSJ.com
Icahn Seeks Ouster of Clorox's Board
Annie Gasparro
Management
Aug. 20, 2011

0 Comments
 
Carl Icahn

Carl's Motorola Win

August 15

Carl Icahn explained his approach and big win with the sale of Motorola Mobility to Google. Icahn, as the largest shareholder with 11% of the shares, actively worked with the company moving it to the spin-off which led to the current sale. Interesting interview where you get to hear from Icahn himself.

0 Comments
 
Mario Gabelli

Tough Allocations, But Look At These

August 13

As a member of Barron's Roundtable, Mario Gabelli was asked where investors should be in the midst of the current market turmoil.  Gabelli suggests that the chance for a double-dip recession has risen from 10% to 15% in his mind and he acknowledges that it is difficult to determine best allocations. He does, however, mention a couple of energy companies that look attractive following significant price drops.

Take a look at this excerpt, you may find some ideas.  Additionally, two other Market Lions, Bill Gross and Marc Faber, were interviewed as well so there is even more than Mario's comments in this article.

Barrons.com
The Smart Money Speaks
Lauren R Rublin
Aug. 13, 2011

0 Comments
 
Bill Miller

Precipitous, Wrong and Dangerous

August 08

Bill Miller, in this complelling opinion piece, explains why S&P's downgrading of the US credit rating was "precipitous, wrong, and dangerous."  He explores the implications of S&P's action on several levels, strongly arguing they should not have downgraded the US. Whether you agree or disagree yourself, you'll want to read this easy-to-understand explanation.

http://www.leggmason.com/
Precipitous, Wrong and Dangerous
Bill Miller
Aug. 8, 2011

0 Comments
 
Lions' Leanings
BULLISH BEARISH NEUTRAL CONFUSED
Buffett Rogers
Geithner
Miller Ferguson   Bernanke
Forbes Faber  
Malpass  Roubini    
Gabelli Yardeni    

 Gross    

Icahn    
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