Ed Yardeni
Housing's Future?
August 18
Yardeni's idea to eliminate the excess housing inventory was highlighted in an MLD lead article a couple of weeks ago (Finally, A Solution). This link takes you to the follow-up where Yardeni's congressman is jumping on the idea and is planning to introduce it as legislation. We'll see where this goes. (Regardless, I hope it gets settled fast. My son and his family are getting ready to make an offer on a house, but....should he wait to see if the legislation passes?)
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Ed Yardeni
Room For Optimism
August 16
Ed Yardeni presents some optimism in the midst of the recent market turmoil. He points out that rail car shipments have actually risen recently. Even though the S&P Transportation Index has fallen precipitously, similar to what it did when Lehman collapsed in 2008, Yardeni points out that rail shipments look much better this time around than in 2008. Time will tell.
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Ed Yardeni
Room For Optimism, Take Two
August 17
"Are we starting to come out of the soft patch just as investors are discounting a double dip recession? I think so. The latest evidence is in July’s industrial production report for the US. Let’s review..."
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Ed Yardeni
Maybe Not All Optimistic...
August 18
Ed Yardeni tempers his last two blogs reflecting optimism in the economy with this blog which reflects the big jump in this particular leading indicator (high-yield corp. bonds vs. 10-year Treasuries). Very brief blog, but a useful one to look at to keep this particular indicator in mind for your own prognostications.
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David Malpass
August Panic Attacks Not Justified
August 16
In this white paper, David Malpass and Wing Chow explain why this month's increase in industrial production is not enough to turn things around. Nor do they view the market panic as being justified by the economic data. Nonetheless, they express caution and suggest a couple of events that could swing the world economies in the wrong direction.
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David Malpass
Bank Issues
August 18
David Malpass and other very experienced players discuss the health of the US and European banking systems as they face the issues of the day. While Malpass, and the others, see issues and concerns that may lead to recession, they believe the financial strength of the banks is much better than it was in 2008. A bit cerebral, but nonetheless it is a helpful interview.
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Nouriel Roubini
Economic Options
August 15
In this article, Nouriel Roubini delves into the detail behind several of his statements from the prior week, including his claiming Karl Marx might be right about capitalism. He explains in a little more detail what he meant and he explains in simple terms what options, in his mind, are before the eurozone and the US to solve the current economic problems. This is a relatively interesting article, whether or not you agree or disagree with Roubini. It's a useful explanation of several options, which, I suspect, will be seriously considered by policy makers and central bankers. (Though this is not a particularly good thing from my point of view.)
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Nouriel Roubini
Marx Was Right & It's All Bush's Fault
August 11
"Economist Nouriel Roubini says the risk of a global recession is greater than 50 percent, and the next two to three months will reveal the economy's direction. In an interview with WSJ's Simon Constable, Roubini also says he's putting his money in cash. 'This is not the time to be in risky assets,' he says." This is a relatively long (22-minutes) interview and in it he makes some stunning statements. At about 5 1/2 minutes into the interview, Roubini says Karl Marx was right and capitalism could self destruct if money shifts from labor to capital, something he says is happening now, though not yet to the extreme.
Furthermore, he says the econonomic problems today should be blamed on George Bush. (Must be President Obama's primary advisor given these statements.) Roubini's solution: more stimulus now (wasn't big enough before), increase taxes, and down the road reduce government expenses. There are some other surprising statements made throughout. Though rather depressing, this interview gets 4-stars simply for the shock value.
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Bill Gross
Serious Concerns
August 18
Bill Gross is interviewed (starts 7-minutes into the video) about the situation in Europe now (which he says is serious) and whether the US will go into, or already is, in recession. Gross says corporations are unwilling to invest because of a lack of demand and consumers don't buy because they are worried about losing their job. He suggests the best solution, short-term, is for the government to actually start hiring directly in special works projects. Gross suggests some rather striking solutions and predictions. Gross followers may want to check out this interview.
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Steve Forbes
Get Into the Market Now
August 18
In this interview, even as the market is dropping dramatically, Steve Forbes suggests it is a good time to invest funds you won't need for a couple of years. He is particularly looking beyond the 2012 elections. In the course of the interview, he explains what is different today than the 2008 situation (hint: mark to market). Interesting interview.
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Steve Forbes
Dollar Will Be Linked To Gold
August 15
In this interview, Steve Forbes explains his views about gold, the dollar, and what their relationship means in the past, present, and future. Interesting and informative review of past history along with Forbes' prediction that the dollar will, within five years, again be linked to gold--by necessity.
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Steve Forbes
For Jobs, Obama Should...
August 17
With President Obama on his bus tour in the midwest, Steve Forbes responds to the President's promise to issue a new plan for jobs after he gets back from vacation. This is an interesting discussion about what really creates demand which will lead to jobs. Forbes provides his prescription for the President, one which will certainly not be accepted, unfortunately.
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Warren Buffett
Sponsored By
Warren Explains Much
August 15
If you are a Warren Buffett follower, you will want to listen to this 51-minute inteview. Though most of the discussion centers around Buffett's recent call to raise taxes on the rich (see Stop Coddling the Rich), Buffett explores more including the deficit, the S&P downgrade, the economy, and the markets. He says all his 70-some businesses are doing better each quarter, except those related to the housing industry. He sees corporate America as doing fine, except those in residential real estate, which will not get better until the excess inventory drops to a million units. You will most likely agree and disagree with Buffett in this interview, perhaps even be surprised at his views, but if you follow him, it's a must hear.
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Warren Buffett
Sponsored By
Stop Coddling the Rich
August 14
Here's the famous op-ed Warren Buffett wrote claiming the rich, like him, should pay more in taxes, a now familiar complaint from the Oracle of Omaha. While he gives some statistics in the editorial, he seems to leave out how big an impact his recommended tax increase would really make in the government's deficit. It's not really as much as all the noise would make it seem. By the way, an interesting editorial in the Wall Street Journal (Warren Buffett's Tax Dodge) provides an enlightening counter-point to Buffett's op-ed.
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jim Rogers
QE3 Has Already Started
August 17
In his usual colorful explanations, Jim Rogers shares the specific investments he is in and those he is avoiding. He explains, with an historical perspective, what he sees happening today. Agree or disagree, Rogers certainly has no doubt about his views. Listen to this one.
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Jim Rogers
Nothing New About Bad Treasuries
August 08
Jim Rogers suggests that the downgrade by S&P was really nothing new to the markets because everyone that invests already knew that Treasuries were in bad shape. He suggests the recent market "panic" was more about what was going on in Europe. Because Rogers is convinced the only thing central banks know how to do is print more money, he is invested in real assets like gold and agricultural commodities. He points out that nations need to let bad companies go bankrupt. Japan did not for the past twenty years and their stock market is "75% below what it was twenty years ago." We should not do the same thing, but that's what they're doing according to Rogers. You'll want to listen to this one.
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Marc Faber
More QE Coming
August 19
Marc Faber suggests the Fed will move forward in the future with QE3 and even QE4. As such, he sees gold as a key long-term investment. He recommends diversification, but today, even though he sees equities going lower, he still thinks it is the better asset category.
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Marc Faber
Accumulate Gold
August 19
Though he thinks gold may currently be overpriced, nonetheless Marc Faber thinks you are irresponsible if not adding gold to your portfolio every month. With central banks primarily printing money, Faber sees gold as a long term value. Furthermore, though he thinks equities may go lower, it is a better investment than Treasuries because he expects more easing by central banks. It's worth listening to this interview.
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Marc Faber
Collectively Resign
August 09
In an interview from Thailand, Marc Faber suggested that even with the rebound on Tuesday, he expects the market to go lower. When that happens, he thinks the Fed will then implement QE3, though he thinks they were right in not announcing it this month. And in typical Faber fashion, he said the best thing the Fed could do for the economy is to "collectively resign."
At this time Faber claims the long-term Treasuries are in a huge bubble and are the "short of the century." And finally, he says every responsible adult should increase his holding of gold over time, even though he sees a correction in gold as overdue. He gives lots of specific investment advice toward the end of this interview. You don't want to miss it.
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Carl Icahn
Corporate Governance and Taxes
August 15
Carl Icahn discusses what he sees as the lack of good corporate governance in America in this interview. As he is asked, he also explains why he agrees with Warren Buffett that the wealthy can and should pay more in taxes, but the taxes on corporations need to be reduced. A corporate tax, he says, is really a tax on the middle-class because they own shares through their pension funds.
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Carl Icahn
Carl Wants Clorox Board To Go
August 20
"Billionaire investor Carl Icahn said Friday he intends to nominate 11 people, including himself, to replace Clorox Co.'s whole board at the company's next shareholder meeting..."
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Carl Icahn
Carl's Motorola Win
August 15
Carl Icahn explained his approach and big win with the sale of Motorola Mobility to Google. Icahn, as the largest shareholder with 11% of the shares, actively worked with the company moving it to the spin-off which led to the current sale. Interesting interview where you get to hear from Icahn himself.
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Mario Gabelli
Tough Allocations, But Look At These
August 13
As a member of Barron's Roundtable, Mario Gabelli was asked where investors should be in the midst of the current market turmoil. Gabelli suggests that the chance for a double-dip recession has risen from 10% to 15% in his mind and he acknowledges that it is difficult to determine best allocations. He does, however, mention a couple of energy companies that look attractive following significant price drops.
Take a look at this excerpt, you may find some ideas. Additionally, two other Market Lions, Bill Gross and Marc Faber, were interviewed as well so there is even more than Mario's comments in this article.
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Bill Miller
Precipitous, Wrong and Dangerous
August 08
Bill Miller, in this complelling opinion piece, explains why S&P's downgrading of the US credit rating was "precipitous, wrong, and dangerous." He explores the implications of S&P's action on several levels, strongly arguing they should not have downgraded the US. Whether you agree or disagree yourself, you'll want to read this easy-to-understand explanation.
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